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Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.

Provider end date 1 Jul 2027Liquidity $181.3kLifetime volume $408.6kSource Polymarket

Contract resolution rules

AI-assisted explanation

Resolves Yes if Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise resolves No. Official Indiana government information is the primary source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Conditions for a winning outcome

The measure must mandatorily prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW of requested or nameplate interconnection capacity per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default. Suspension until a condition is met qualifies; a conditional statutory trigger must be objectively determinable, not dependent on agency findings, certifications, or completion of proceedings. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, referendum approval, or another lawful enactment mechanism.

Exclusions and exceptions

Incentive, exemption-certification, or economic-development-award suspensions alone do not qualify. Neither do local or partial-state moratoriums, executive or agency orders, other nonstatutory measures, discretionary authority to impose a moratorium, or permission subject to restrictions rather than default prohibition. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment or removed by line-item veto without override do not count. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or delayed effectiveness does not undo a qualifying enactment.

Timing & resolution

June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC). Enactment, not effectiveness, controls. Voter-approved measures count on election day as reflected in certified results, regardless of certification or effective date.

Ambiguities in the rules

No material ambiguity is apparent. The deadline is consistent across the question and provider timestamp. The rules allow a consensus of credible reporting as an alternative to official state information without naming particular reporting outlets.

AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.

Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Indiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome prices and implied probabilities

Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.

Yes9.5%
9.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No90.5%
90.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.09 / 0.1. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z

Event contracts and stock returns

A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.

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