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Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise resolves No. Official Indiana government information is the primary source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must mandatorily prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW of requested or nameplate interconnection capacity per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default. Suspension until a condition is met qualifies; a conditional statutory trigger must be objectively determinable, not dependent on agency findings, certifications, or completion of proceedings. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, referendum approval, or another lawful enactment mechanism.
Exclusions and exceptions
Incentive, exemption-certification, or economic-development-award suspensions alone do not qualify. Neither do local or partial-state moratoriums, executive or agency orders, other nonstatutory measures, discretionary authority to impose a moratorium, or permission subject to restrictions rather than default prohibition. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment or removed by line-item veto without override do not count. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or delayed effectiveness does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Timing & resolution
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC). Enactment, not effectiveness, controls. Voter-approved measures count on election day as reflected in certified results, regardless of certification or effective date.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity is apparent. The deadline is consistent across the question and provider timestamp. The rules allow a consensus of credible reporting as an alternative to official state information without naming particular reporting outlets.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.09 / 0.1. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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