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Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Ohio enacts a qualifying statewide data center moratorium by law or constitutional provision between market creation and the deadline; otherwise No. Enactment, not the effective date, controls. A later effective date, failure to implement, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must generally prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities with requested or nameplate interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default. A suspension until a condition is satisfied can qualify. The provision must be mandatory on its face; a trigger must be objectively determinable, not deferred to agency findings, certifications, or proceedings. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, or another lawful mechanism.
Exclusions and exceptions
Tax incentive, exemption-certification, or economic-development-award suspensions alone do not count. Neither do local or geographically limited moratoriums; executive or agency orders or other nonstatutory/nonconstitutional measures; permission subject to restrictions rather than default prohibition; discretionary authority to impose a moratorium; legislative passage alone; or announced intent to sign. The operative text at enactment controls: provisions amended out do not count, and line-item-vetoed provisions count only if that veto is overridden.
Timing & resolution
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC). For voter-approved statutes or constitutional measures, enactment is election day as reflected in certified results, regardless of certification or effective date.
Ambiguities in the rules
“Objectively determinable” is not further defined. Official Ohio government information is the primary resolution source, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used; no particular outlets or consensus standard are specified. Coverage below 100 MW is not required if all new facilities above 100 MW are covered.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.15 / 0.16. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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