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Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.

Provider end date 1 Jul 2027Liquidity $433Lifetime volume $294Source Polymarket

Contract resolution rules

AI-assisted explanation

Market resolves Yes if OpenAI's GPT Astra 6.1+ model debuts at a Standard output token price (Short context rate) of at least $75 per million tokens by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise No.

Conditions for a winning outcome

A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model version 6.1 or higher with 'Astra' in its name or identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes/suffixes/descriptors. The debut price is the Standard output token price using the Short context rate, announced by OpenAI or listed on its official API pricing page when first made available to the general public. Introductory prices qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. The primary resolution source is official OpenAI information, including its official API pricing page, with additional verification from credible reporting.

Exclusions and exceptions

GPT-6 Astra (including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot) does not qualify. Tier-labeled models like GPT-5.6 Sol/Terra/Luna and successors, and task-specific lines like GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models do not qualify. Batch, Flex, Fast mode, Priority, long-context, cached, regional, and data-residency prices do not qualify. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by the deadline, resolves No.

Timing & resolution

June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Equivalent UTC timestamp 2027-07-01T03:59:00Z is treated as the same deadline.

Ambiguities in the rules

No material ambiguities. The source clearly defines debut as first made available to the general public, and resolution is based on the debut price, so later price changes are irrelevant.

AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.

Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. The debut price is the “Standard” output token price, using the “Short context” rate, announced by OpenAI or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, Flex, Fast mode, Priority, long-context, cached, regional, and data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, including its official API pricing page (https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome prices and implied probabilities

Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.

Yes3.7%
3.65¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No96.4%
96.35¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.006 / 0.067. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-25T22:15:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T22:14:38.268227Z

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