Yes5.5%
Energy & commodities Open at last refresh
Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary?
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Provider end date; confirm observation window in the rules.
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What actually has to happen?
A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
THE MARKET’S VIEW
Two outcomes. One precise question.
No94.5%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.02 / 0.09. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T09:45:05+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T09:42:57.535298Z
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