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Will Actor AI win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Provider end date; confirm observation window in the rules.

Provider end date 14 Mar 2027Liquidity $0Lifetime volume $0Source Polymarket

Contract resolution rules

Original terms

A plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.

Original resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome prices and implied probabilities

Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.

Yes50.0%
50.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No50.0%
50.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0 / 1. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-24T12:45:03+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-07T20:07:36.953238Z

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